Thursday, August 10, 2006

Rural Vote Up for Grabs

The latest Carville-Greenberg strategy memo argues that "white rural America -- one of the cornerstones of the Republican base -- is up for grabs. Disenchanted with Bush, squeezed by rising costs and stagnant incomes, and embittered by the on-going conflict in Iraq, white rural voters are ready to vote for change."Key takeaway: "White rural Americans are evenly divided on whether they approve or disapprove of the job Bush is doing as president. Sixty percent think the country is moving in the wrong direction. In the Congressional vote, the Republicans now hold a mere 9-point lead, down from 17 points in 2004. The parallel for Democrats would be Democrats having only a 9-point lead among union households. The quintessential cornerstone of the Republican base is showing signs of crumbling."

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